The cost of January 2021 will be one of the heaviest, warns the UNAM

Eufemia Basilio, academic and member of the IIE, suggested to the population that if they saved 10 or 15% before, it is best to increase that percentage to 25 or 30%, but only if finances allow it.

xThe next slope of January 2021 will be one of the heaviest that the population will live due to the economic context that is being experienced, warned academics from the Institute for Economic Research (IIE) of the UNAM .

During the virtual conference “How to organize end-of-year expenses?”, Researchers from the Maximum House of Studies warned that in the face of the crisis that is being experienced due to the coronavirus pandemic; the best thing is to increase savings, be proactive and plan expenses towards the holidays.

Eufemia Basilio, academic and member of the IIE , suggested to the population that if they saved 10 or 15% before, it is best to increase that percentage to 25 or 30%, but only if finances allow it.

“It is important to have that little storage because surely the January cost will be heavier, so it is good to have that savings to face any emergency or expense, saving part of the income is a very good option,” he said.

During the virtual conference “How to organize end-of-year expenses?”, Researchers from the Maximum House of Studies warned that in the face of the crisis that is being experienced due to the coronavirus pandemic; the best thing is to increase savings, be proactive and plan expenses towards the holidays.

Eufemia Basilio, academic and member of the IIE , suggested to the population that if they saved 10 or 15% before, it is best to increase that percentage to 25 or 30%, but only if finances allow it.

“It is important to have that little storage because surely the January cost will be heavier, so it is good to have that savings to face any emergency or expense, saving part of the income is a very good option,” he said.

In turn, Moritz Cruz, also a researcher, pointed out that having a small financial cushion will allow us to get out of any eventuality or only cover unexpected expenses.

He pointed out that although, as an economist, I would recommend that people go out and buy to boost economic activity, unfortunately, this is linked to the consumption and purchasing power of buyers, many of whom at this time, their situation is not the most ideal .

Of the 88 officials of the Tax Administration Service (SAT) who have been reported to the Public Ministry (MP), more than half worked in the General Administration of Customs, according to the data for the third quarter of this year of the Report of Debt and Public Finance of the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP).

The data showed that a total of 48 Customs workers were reported to the MP for various crimes. Among them, six were for crimes comparable to smuggling in the North Pacific, Northeast and North Central regions, while five were for crimes comparable to smuggling and the illicit exercise of public service in the Western region.

Other crimes for which the customs personnel were reported to the MP were for the illicit use of attributions and powers; smuggling; concussion; bribery; Documents forgery; crimes against the administration of justice and committed by public servants; Stole; crimes against the administration of justice and committed by public servants; and administrative responsibility.

Other administrations with officials reported to the MP are the General Taxpayer Services Administration, with 22; General Administration of Federal Fiscal Audit, with seven; the General Administration of Communications and Information Technologies, with five; the General Administration of Collection, with three; and the General Administration of Resources and Services, with three.

Among the crimes identified in these areas are the falsification of public documents; illicit access to computer systems and equipment; fraud; illicit access to computer systems and equipment; crimes in electoral matters; illicit exercise of public service; improper modification to systems; and crimes of administrative responsibility.

On the other hand, 563 were presented before the Internal Control Body (OIC) of the SAT for administrative responsibility of government workers.

The OIC is in charge of dealing with complaints or denunciations of public servants made by users of the institution, in addition to applying internal rules and mechanisms that prevent acts or omissions that could constitute administrative misconduct.

The minister spokesperson aligns herself with Díaz and highlights the Government’s commitment to raise the SMI

The Ministry of Labor and Social Economy has raised to the social agents that in no case will it freeze the SMI in 2021 and has called another meeting next Monday to continue negotiating.

This was announced by the Secretary of State for Employment and Social Economy, Joaquín Pérez Rey, after the first meeting of the Social Dialogue table that addressed the matter. For this reason, he asked the business organizations, which demanded this freeze, to come up with a new proposal next week.

The Government spokesperson and Minister of Finance, María Jesús Montero, highlighted this Tuesday “the commitment” of the Executive with the increase in the minimum interprofessional wage (SMI). But at the same time he appealed “for prudence when approaching it.”

Labor rules out before social agents freezing the minimum wage.

This was indicated during the press conference after the Council of Ministers, in which he said that this Government has a “strong commitment” to improving the labor conditions of workers and “specifically, with the rise in the SMI.”

In this way, the Minister Spokesperson is approaching the positions defended by the Minister of Labor, Yolanda Díaz, and against the sectors of the Government that are most favorable to a freeze.

The refusal of the department headed by Yolanda Díez coincides with the position of the UGT. The general secretary of this union, Pepe Álvarez, has warned that he will not accept or increase the period for calculating pensions (an option that the Minister of Social Security, José Luis Escrivá is considering) or freeze the SMI.

This was announced by the Secretary of State for Employment and Social Economy, Joaquín Pérez Rey, after the first meeting of the Social Dialogue table that addressed the matter. For this reason, he asked the business organizations, which demanded this freeze, to come up with a new proposal next week.

Álvarez has asked that the SMI reaches 1,000 euros per month next year, compared to 950 euros today. And that at the end of the legislature it is around 60% of the average salary, about 1,200 euros per month.

The epidemic curve rises again in Catalonia. In just a couple of days, the speed of transmission of the virus (the Rt, which measures how many people infects, on average, one positive) has skyrocketed: from 0.91 to 1.11.

That is, out of every 100 positives, another 111 people are infected. The rate of expansion of the virus is already above the threshold (more than 1) recommended by health authorities to keep the pandemic at bay and the incidence of infections continues to rise: 211 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days.

The change in trend occurs one week before Christmas, when more trips and social interactions are expected, and puts at risk the plan to relax restrictions designed by the Generalitat for these dates.

The second wave of infections plunges air traffic by 84.1% in November Europe closes for fear of the rebound in cases after Christmas

“The data is getting complicated. They are telling us that there may be a change in trend. We are evaluating it. We see an increase in positivity and it makes us alert ”, admitted the Government spokesperson, Meritxell Budó, after the Executiu Council on Tuesday.

Budó has slipped that they will need two or three days to analyze whether the trend is confirmed or not and, in principle, if it is ratified, the current limitations -30% in restaurants will be maintained; increase in capacity to a thousand people in cultural centers – but it will not be possible to move forward from the reopening phase.

“From there we will see if we have to make adjustments to the Christmas plan once we analyze the data. We would communicate it as far in advance as possible ”, he stressed.

Budó has suggested that the spread of infections may be linked to the increase in social relations during the Constitution Bridge.

“It is important to raise awareness that increased mobility and social interaction lead to an increase in cases. These data could be a consequence of the increase in mobility and social interaction that was seen during the bridge ”, pointed out Budó.

After the peak of the second wave at the end of October, Catalonia began a vertical decline in transmission in November, sponsored by the harsh social restrictions applied to curb the pandemic.

The community began the de-escalation on November 23 with the reopening of bars and restaurants , although it had to slow down the pace of reopening when the indicators stopped falling .

Amid the pressure from the economic sectors and the fear of an upturn in infections in the coming days , the Government chose to reopen, from this Monday, the shopping centers, expand the capacity of large cultural spaces (such as the Liceu de Barcelona ) and go from a weekend municipal confinement to a regional one.

Heading into ChristmasThe Generalitat proposed expanding social gatherings from six to 10 people and making the curfew more flexible (now at 10 p.m.) until 1.30 a.m. With the data on the table, however, all reopening plans are hanging by a thread.

“There will be Christmas, sure, but depending on how the data is, we will have to adjust some measures or others. We will have to see if the trend is confirmed or not ”, insisted Budó. The Procicat, the government body that coordinates the response to the pandemic, will meet this Tuesday.

The leadership of the Department of Health has repeated several times that, with the current hospital pressure, they cannot allow a rebound in cases or enter, de facto, a third wave . There are 1,511 people hospitalized, 351 of them in intensive care.

Occupancy figures too high to face another acceleration of infections. Especially, taking into account the antecedents in the behavior of the virus: ICU admissions went from 179 on October 10 to 594 on November 10. Assuming a growth in intensive care occupation when the baseline level exceeds 350, double that of October, would put the health system in check.

The Minister of Health, Alba Vergés, avoided pronouncing this Monday, when the epidemic curve was already beginning to rise, about how her de-escalation plans were and whether her project for the Christmas holidays was in danger.

The Health Minister limited herself to saying that they will “analyze the data” and recalled that “you have to be very strict in complying with the protection measures” and the restrictions applied. He did emphasize, however, that they do not rule out any scenario, including stopping the plans if the epidemic curve worsens.

For his part, the Minister of the Interior, Miquel Sàmper, went further and admitted that the Mossos d’Esquadra and the local police will not be able to control that during the holidays the prohibition of not meeting more than ten people from two bubbles is observed.

“It is very difficult, if we already have difficulties to control the weekend confinement because we have the troops that we have, it would be wrong to say that we can control the families, it is impossible that we can control if it is fulfilled.”

For this reason, he called for the co-responsibility of families: “We call for co-responsibility. We have the responsibility of setting the measures, but that of their exercise belongs to everyone. Let’s not forget that we politicians and the police can be fooled, but the virus cannot ”.

Health voices inside and outside the Government show their concern. “It looks bad. Even with the oscillations of the weekend, the increase in transmission speed is sharp. The number of cases has also skyrocketed and in the ICU there are some more admissions.

If, as possible, they stabilize or go up, bad plan for Christmas. We are not doing well, ”laments Toni Trilla, head of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology at the Hospital Clínic de Barcelona.

And while the health wing of the Government holds its breath in the face of the rebound in the epidemic curve, the Minister of Business, Ramon Tremosa, points to the restoration union’s campaign to promote consumption in bars and restaurants this Christmas.

The owner of the Company will participate in an event, tomorrow Wednesday, which has the support of renowned figures from radio and television. “Within the restoration there are certain measures: reduced capacity indoors and distance between tables outside. Catering is safe and people must be encouraged to go. Now, let’s do it responsibly ”, has defended Budó.

Despite the poor evolution of the epidemic curve, the Government spokesperson has assured that, for the moment, the bars will remain open. “As long as we have the data we have, there is nothing that makes us think that we are not going to the bars to boost the economy. We are not considering any contrary measure, ”he said.

The coronavirus (COVID-19) is the disease produced by the SARS-CoV2 virus whose impact has gone beyond its health condition and the high increase in mortality rates of the population worldwide, surpassing in Panama the date, according to reports from the Ministry of Health (Minsa), the 140,000 confirmed cases and around 3,000 deaths.

However, these are not the only consequences that have accompanied this health crisis.

The economic impacts that have been seen due to the pandemic, declared in this way at the beginning of March of this year, have been high and since the main focus of governments and organizations on these events is currently, many others have taken the opportunity to carry out numerous criminal acts.

According to the World Health Organization (WHO) “criminal groups have also rapidly adapted to the opportunities arising from the pandemic to exploit vulnerabilities and gaps in the health and criminal justice systems.”

During this time, the money laundering figures have continued to be recorded, however, the means for this to occur have been partly modified. According to the website of the International Police (Interpol): “The fight against money laundering is closely associated with investigations into the crimes to which it is linked.”

New sources of illicit money have emerged during this crisis, including cybercrime, misdirection or exploitation of government funds, and counterfeiting of medical products in the face of high demand, even misleading many governments.

According to the United Nations (UN): “Health and life are at risk with criminals who exploit the COVID-19 crisis to take advantage of public anxiety and the increased demand for personal protective equipment and medicines.”

In this way, a large amount of personal protective equipment and other false health products have been seen, which are not effective and that on the contrary affect the health of the population.

What’s happening? We are facing a very vulnerable time, the low control that is being seen by governments and the private sector against money laundering and terrorist financing puts us at risk of increasing these situations.

In this context, it is easier for criminals to find ways to disguise their true finances by misusing online services, increasing the unregulated financial sector and the opportunity to do more and more fraudulent negotiations or activities.

Speaking of the vulnerability in which we are living, during the month of July of this year, António Guterres, Secretary General of the UN, mentioned that “the psychosocial, economic and political tensions associated with COVID-19 increased dramatically.

Terrorists must not be allowed to exploit these fissures and weaknesses.

However, in a report by the same organization during the month of November, it is reported that non-state violent groups, including terrorists, right-wing extremists and organized crime such as Mexican cartels, have maliciously used social networks to reinforce their agendas during the COVID-19 pandemic, seeking to generate conspiracy theories about the origin of the virus that promote violence by these groups.

In addition, it says the pandemic d e COVID-19 was an opportunity for Mexican cartels and other countries where we have tried to disguise their true criminal intent with an alleged social aid.

There, criminal groups have distributed aid boxes, taking advantage of the difficult economic situation that the population is going through, distributing them with the name or logo of the organization and, later, promoting their actions in the media and / or social networks, representing the latter an important instrument for its dissemination.

In this way, what they seek is to promote their ideologies to the population, also managing to penetrate and infiltrate the legal economy.