The United States will have a new president in 2021. Democrat Joe Biden will assume the reins of the executive branch, bringing some “normalcy” to the White House after 4 years of a rather atypical presidency.

The difference in styles will certainly be from heaven to earth. Joe Biden will be a more traditional president in terms of tone and form. His administration will undoubtedly be far more presidential than the Trump administration, which was extremely personal. Here we will have an important change.

However, in many ways, 2021 will look a lot like 2020. It will be an extension during the first few months. But things will gradually improve. Generally speaking, it will be a positive year.

We must be very attentive to three processes: The deglobalization of the world, the digitization of the world and the growing rivalry between China and the United States. In economic matters, deflation, unemployment and inequality will continue to be the main problems.

On the other hand, in political and social matters, the great challenge is division. In other words, the polarization of American society. Tribal struggles between groups, races, and parties.

Is Biden a radical on the left? Of course not. We must remember that Biden is no newcomer. In other words, its trajectory is widely known. And his record speaks for itself. His alleged radicalism was a laboratory move by the Trump campaign.

It worked wonders for Latinos in South Florida, by the way. However, propaganda is one thing and reality is another. Joe Biden is clearly a proven moderate. A man of the center, known for knowing how to work with both parties. The danger here is not a radical shift to the left.

Here the danger is inaction. I mean, Biden don’t do anything. An administration rich in words, but poor in actions.

Joe Biden was never a particularly popular candidate. In fact, it was always the anti-Trump or anti-radical left option. We well know that Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have much more committed followers. However, fanaticism was not enough to beat Trump.

The radical left in the United States does not have the numbers to obtain a majority. So, Biden was a concession. Neutral and respectable enough to attract independents, the undecided, and disgruntled Republicans, but a full-fledged Democrat who would also win the vote of radicals within the party. Many did not vote for Biden per se.

But they did vote for Biden to vote against Trump. Is different.

The strategy worked, because Biden did win the election. However, now is when the hardest part begins. In other words, to govern a deeply divided country with a party invaded by radicals and a Senate against it. Biden’s economic plan is very good. But it’s good on paper. It’s no use if you can’t get support.

It is very possible that the Republicans are blocking it from all sides. Will your bipartisan skill work in the current context? Do you have the leadership to deliver results? That remains to be seen. Politics can easily get in the way of a good plan. Because in politics you don’t just have to be right. You also have to have the support.

What role will Trump play in the opposition? Trump’s followers idolize their leader. Its base is a kind of cult. Personalism at that level is not uncommon in the third world, but Trump managed to recreate that phenomenon in the United States. His messianic demi-god status could still stay alive for a while.

Republicans are scared of Trump, because they don’t want to lose their base support. Which would make Trump a pretty annoying ghost during the Biden administration. The level of influence Trump could have outside the White House remains to be seen.

The United States could grow by 3.6% in 2021 with a deficit of -9.2%. The government will take a big turn to the center with a legislature in constant war. L as racial tensions and street protests will continue.

The coronavirus will continue to claim many lives, but vaccines will get the job done. Here the problem will be the “anti-vaxxer” movement. A real stone in the shoe in the fight against the pandemic. There will be chaos for a time. But everything seems to indicate that 2021 will end on good terms.

Will unemployment return to 4%? Will inflation exceed 2%? Will we have a crash in the stock market? Will the Dollar Index exceed its 2008 record low? Probably not. But there will surely be some scares along the way.

During the Biden administration, many things will return to normal. The United States will once again be part of the World Health Organization, the Paris Accords will be returned, and the children of illegal immigrants will once again have certain protections.

Regarding the covid-19 measures, Biden will be stricter and less ambiguous than Trump. Surely, many things will be mandatory for a while, such as the use of masks, for example.

In the diplomatic field, the Joe Biden administration will surely seek to resume old alliances and try to iron out the rough edges left by Trump internationally. In the domestic field, however, the key will be in the legislature. It will be very difficult for Biden to pass his proposals on health, economy, climate and taxes due to the Republican fence.

When it comes to stimulus, a very relevant issue for Bitcoin and financial markets, the Republicans will continue to put up obstacles.

Republicans will continue to promote fiscal austerity on a matter of doctrine. But this lack of fiscal investment the only thing that will cause will be a continuation of the recovery in the form of K.

In other words, the supposed republican and libertarian “austerity” is basically “austerity” for the neediest, but wealth for the richest .Ironically, this formula will be very convenient for Bitcoin and Wall Street which will grow much faster than the real economy due to the Republican “austerity”.

The money supply will go straight to asset inflation. Excellent for Bitcoin. But not so much for the common citizen suffering from the crisis.

The most important change is the return to institutionality. In other words, a more presidential presidency. On the monetary side, things will not change much during 2021, because the Federal Reserve enjoys a lot of autonomy and will continue to do its job.

I assume that Biden will have a better relationship with Powell. Because Trump always had a very tense relationship. But monetary policy as such will not undergo major changes.

We have to be very attentive to what happens in the Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ). Trump was somewhat hostile to the crypto world and Jay Clayton, the outgoing director, wasn’t exactly our best friend, but an SEC under the Biden administration might be a bit more crypto-friendly. What will the new SEC be like regarding Bitcoin? We will see it in 2021.

With the United States forces in full retreat from the country and the peace talks between the Taliban and the government on hold until January, violence monopolizes the day-to-day in Afghanistan.

Terror broke out this time in the form of sticky bombs and there were two attacks in Kabul and Ferozkoh, Ghor province, to hit high-ranking officials. In the center of the capital, the city’s deputy governor, Mahboobullah Mohebi, was killed and one of his aides and two other people were injured.

The attack in Ghor killed the number two of the Provincial Council, Abdurahman Atshan. No group claimed responsibility for these actions aimed at weakening the power of the institutions.

On paper, Kabul should be the safest square in Afghanistan, but in just over a month the center of the capital has been the target of two indiscriminate rocket and mortar attacks and the university campus was the scene of a jihad operation. urban area in which 35 students died.

In this case, it was the jihadist group Islamic State (IS) who claimed responsibility for the massacre, but the Government did not believe this version and accused the Taliban of being the true authors of the assault. Journalists are also in the spotlight and two well-known presenters have died in the last three weeks.

The peace talks are on hold until January and the president, Ashraf Ghani , asked the two sides to consider the possibility of “abandoning the luxurious hotels of Doha” to continue the dialogue in Afghanistan. The city of Kandahar, a stronghold of the insurgency in the south of the country, offered to resume the dialogue between Afghans during the next month.

The Taliban have respected the ceasefire agreed with the United States since February 29 in exchange for the withdrawal of its troops, but they refuse to accept a truce with the government and this complicates talks that are progressing very slowly.

In these months, operations against the Afghan security forces have intensified and the clashes leave a high number of casualties among civilians, soldiers, police and Taliban. The initial hope sparked by the talks has been faded by the violence.

Finally, the United States troops will not be out of the country for Christmas, as Trump hinted in October in a message in a clear electoral tone, but their withdrawal is progressing according to the deadlines agreed with the insurgency.

In an interview with the BBC network, the Taliban leaders reminded the next tenant of the White House, Joe Biden , the importance of respecting the agreement. The Islamist group believes that “each foreign soldier who remains in the country beyond the stipulated time will be considered a legitimate target and we will resume the holy war.”

Joe Biden has chosen Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend (Indiana) with whom he faced in the Democratic primary, as his next Secretary of Transportation .

It was expected that Biden would save somewhere in his Cabinet for this 38-year-old, for two reasons: He is a future value of the Democratic party and Biden owed him a great favor.

Buttigieg starred in a brilliant breakthrough in the Democratic party and came to dispute the center of the party to Biden, the great favorite of the primaries.

Buttigieg was a design candidate, he seemed to have come out of a focus group of political consultants from the Democratic establishment: young, gay, Christian, Harvard-trained, war veteran – a short stint in Afghanistan, Midwest and moderate. .

His only experience was being mayor of a city of 100,000, but it didn’t matter. He covered its gaps with presence, enthusiasm and an optimistic, “Obamian” message of union, harmony and progress. “Major Pete” or “Mayor Pete” became one of the campaign icons.

Buttigieg would not have had a chance to run in a primaries with better candidates. But in the face of many left-leaning rivals, he became the centrist alternative to Biden. The now president-elect, despite being the favorite, was reeling in the debates and his campaign was adrift.

Against the odds, Buttigieg prevailed in the inaugural primaries , the Iowa caucuses. In the next round, in New Hampshire, he was second, behind only leftist leader Bernie Sanders. His Achilles heel was the black electorate, with whom he never connected. And when the primaries came to a state with a large black minority, South Carolina, it collapsed, while Biden was resurrected.

Buttigieg was able to continue in the fight and seek a miracle on Super Tuesday, three days after the South Carolina primary, the date in which the most states are played.

But the young politician made his calculations and opted for a strategic decision: to step aside to secure a future in the Democratic establishment. He canceled his campaign and joined Biden’s. The next day, another moderate candidate, but with fewer options,, Amy Klobuchar, did the same. The ‘establishment’ was milling around Biden.

Buttigieg quickly became a mainstay of the Democratic campaign. He received congratulations by phone from Barack Obama for his generosity. Now the reward has been collected.

Buttigieg had another factor going for him: his appointment to any Cabinet position would make him the first openly gay person in the highest rank of the US Government. Biden has promised a Cabinet “that looks like America” ​​and that. includes diversity of sexual orientation.

Buttigieg made his an electoral card and now it has also been decisive in reaching the Government.

It rang for several portfolios, as ambassador to the UN or secretary of Commerce. In the end, he will be left with Transport, a department with 55,000 employees , in which he will be in charge of a dozen agencies, with responsibility for airspace, national highways or pipeline security.

Your experience for this will be limited. In South Bend, it only managed a fleet of sixty buses on the public transportation service. Other contenders for the position, such as David Kim or Sarah Feinberg, accumulated years of experience in the transport sector and in the public department of the sector. But Biden didn’t owe them one.

“I promise you, throughout your life you will end up seeing a lot more of Pete than me,” Biden said at the first joint rally. Now, his appointment has once again disappointed the leftist currents, who consider that they do not have sufficient representation in the Cabinet.

Buttigieg is not left with a flashy position, but with the visibility and presence he needs to continue his political ambitions, without needing to win a congressional election – for example, senator from Indiana, a difficult seat for being a very state. Republican- to stay in the spotlight. There is no doubt that Buttigieg will run for president again , in 2024 or later.

Donald Trump ordered in May to extend the ban on companies in his country from acquiring and using devices made by foreign companies that may pose a “risk to national security.”

Chinese telecoms equipment maker Huawei has sold all of its interests in Honor, the company’s mid-range mobile phone brand, to the Shenzhen Zhixin New Information Technology consortium as a result of the “tremendous pressure” it has been subjected to. recently the Chinese supplier’s business as a result of the supply chain impact of the US veto.

“Huawei’s consumer business has been under tremendous pressure lately. This is due to a persistent lack of technical elements necessary for our mobile telephony business, ”the Chinese giant acknowledged in a statement.

In this way, Huawei has decided to sell all its business interests in Honor to Shenzhen Zhixin New Information Technology with the aim that the brand, as well as its sellers and suppliers, can overcome the difficulties.

Once the sale is completed, Huawei has ensured that it will not own shares or participate in any way in business management or decision-making activities at Honor.

«This movement has been carried out by the industrial chain of Honor to guarantee its own survival. More than 30 agents and distributors of the Honor brand first proposed this acquisition, “said Huawei.

Since its inception in 2013, the Honor brand has focused on the youth market offering phones in the low to mid-range price range, with more than 70 million units sold annually.

The president of the United States, Donald Trump, signed an executive order last May to extend the prohibition to American companies from acquiring and using devices made by foreign technology companies that may pose “a risk to national security”, such as the China Huawei, thus renewing the veto declared a year earlier.

Huawei achieved a turnover of 671.3 billion yuan (86.275 million euros) in the first nine months of 2020, which represents an increase of 9.9% compared to the sales revenue recorded by the company in the same period. 2019. Huawei’s sales revenue growth was thus below the 24.4% increase registered in the same period of 2019.

81.4% of households with at least one member between 16 and 74 years old have some type of computer (desktop, laptop, tablet …), which represents an increase of 0.5 points compared to 2019.

This is how It emerges from the latest Survey on Equipment and Use of Information and Communication Technologies in Households corresponding to 2020, which has just been made public by the National Institute of Statistics (INE). By type of device, 76.2% have desktop or laptop computers and 58.4% have tablets.

The mobile phone is present in almost all households (99.5%, with an increase of one point compared to 2019). For its part, the landline continues its decline and it is available in 71.1% of households, 3.8 points less than in 2019.

More than 15.5 million households with at least one member between the ages of 16 and 74 (95.3% of the total, compared to 91.2% in 2019) have access to the Internet by fixed and / or mobile broadband.

The main type of broadband connection is through fixed modes (fiber optic or cable network, ADSL…), which is present in 82.1% of households (regardless of whether they also have a mobile connection). For their part, 13.2% only access the Internet through a mobile connection (3G or 4G…).

The mobile phone is already present in almost all householdsn (in 99.5%)

The percentage of households with fixed broadband increases the larger the size of the municipality. Thus, it reaches 85.5% in those with more than 100,000 inhabitants or provincial capitals, compared to 73.7% in those with less than 10,000 inhabitants.

For their part, households with higher incomes have a fixed broadband connection to a greater extent than those with lower incomes. While the latter have a higher percentage of access only by mobile devices.

96.2% of households with a net monthly income of 2,500 eurosor more have fixed access and 3.6% do so only through mobile. On the contrary, among households that earn less than 900 euros, the percentages are 62.7% in fixed access and 23.2% only through mobile.

More and more minors with mobile
The use of new technologies by minors is, in general, very widespread. Computer use is very high (91.5% of minors compared to 89.7% in 2019) and even more so is Internet use (94.5%, 92.9% in 2019).

Almost 70% of kids between the ages of 10 and 15 have a mobile phone, three points more than in 2019

On the other hand, 69.5% of the population aged 10 to 15 has a mobile phone compared to 66.0% in 2019. By sex, girls use new technologies to a greater extent. By age, the use of ICT grows as the age of minors increases, especially after 13.

93.2% of people aged 16 to 74 have used the Internet in the last three months (2.5 points more than in 2019). This represents a total of 32.8 million (with an increase of more than one million users).

By frequency of use, 91.3% connect at least once a week (3.6 points more than in 2019), 83.1% daily (5.5 points more) and 81.0% several times a day (6.1 points more).

The activities most carried out in the last three months by the population aged 16 to 74 have been: using instant messaging services, such as WhatsApp (by 89.5%, 85.1% in 2019), searching for information on goods and services (78.3%, 72.9% in 2019) and telephoning or making video calls over the Internet (77.7%, 54.9% in 2019).

64.7% of the population aged 16 to 74 have participated in the last three months in general social networks (such as Instagram, Facebook, Twitter or YouTube). This percentage is 6.1 points higher than in 2019. The most participatory are students (93.8%) and young people between 16 and 24 years old (93.0%). By sex, the activity of women (66.4%) is higher than that of men (62.9%).

The average estimated cost per buyer ‘online’ reaches 274 euros, nine euros more than last year

Almost 19 million people, 53.8% of the population aged 16 to 74, have bought online in the last three months for private reasons, compared to 46.9% in 2019. 62.6% have bought in the last 12 months (58.0% in 2019).

The average estimated cost per buyer reaches 273.8 euros , an increase of 9.1 euros compared to 2019. In total, 93.6 million purchases are made. 51.2% bought some product in physical format; 30.2% clothing, shoes or accessories (bags, jewelry), 16.1% deliveries from restaurants, fast food, catering and 14.0% sporting goods.

During the last 12 months, the products most purchased on the Internet were clothing, shoes or accessories (39.6% of the population purchased them), computers, tablets, mobile phones or accessories (24.2%) and sporting goods (the 22.0%).

On the other hand, 35.7% of people aged 16 to 74 have downloaded a product or subscription over the Internet in the last three months , 18.6% software (including updates), 15.6% movies or series in streaming and 11.3% games online or downloaded.